Five Security Flaws in IPv6
David Conrad
david.conrad at icann.org
Sun May 13 20:31:57 CEST 2007
On May 13, 2007, at 11:03 AM, Iljitsch van Beijnum wrote:
>> Currently IANA has 46 /8s left in the free pool, so that's -9 from
>> the end of 2006.
> That's not how it looks from where I'm sitting, grepping for " 07",
> I only see -7:
God I hate that registry.
First, 7/8 isn't really reserved/unallocated, it is actually
allocated to DoD but they wouldn't let us update the registry to
reflect that allocation. Long story. We're working with the RIRs to
clean up that registry.
I had forgotten about 49 and 50, so the right answer is -8, however
I'm told a /8 "special needs" allocation is due to arrive at IANA
fairly soon, so -9 by the middle of the year is most likely accurate.
> The trouble with these stats as that they are so coarse. APNIC got
> 5 /8s in january,
FYI: the RIRs have decided to request 2 /8s at a time from now until
the free pool is exhausted.
> My personal prediction: unless unprecedented changes happen, we'll
> be out of v4 somewhere in the second decade of the century, with
> 2012 or 2013 being the most likely year for that to happen.
Optimist. :-)
"Past performance does not guarantee future results." The challenge
with predicting the end of the worl^U IPv4 free pool is that socio-
economic factors are almost certainly going to come into play (read:
LAND RUSH!!!).
Rgds,
-drc
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