Five Security Flaws in IPv6

[David Conrad]

Iljitsch,

Currently IANA has 46 /8s left in the free pool, so that's -9 from  
the end of 2006.  We're not yet at the midpoint of the year, so -18  
for 2007 looks to be pretty dead on.

And why would you assume a linear extrapolation (55/3 = 18 rem 1) for  
the last 3 years of IPv4 free pool availability?

Rgds,
-drc

On May 13, 2007, at 9:49 AM, Iljitsch van Beijnum wrote:

> On 10-mei-2007, at 8:17, Gert Doering wrote:
>
>> Spread the current Geoff Huston numbers.  If his math is right, IPv4
>> from the IANA pool will run out in December 2009.
>
> The number of /8s in the IANA global pool by the end of the year:
>
>         in use  free    +/-
> 2000    118     103
> 2001    125      96      7
> 2002    129      92      4
> 2003    134      87      5
> 2004    143      78      9
> 2005    156      65     13
> 2006    166      55     10
>
> So we'd have to use up 55 /8s in 3 years (2007, 2008 and 2009) =  
> 18 /8s a year = 307 million addresses/year, which is nearly twice  
> what we've been doing the past two years (170 million). Not likely,  
> unless IANA starts giving the RIRs much more than what the RIRs  
> give to LIRs.
>
> Note though that we are on track for around 200 million but the  
> figures for this year so far are a little skewed because BBN gave  
> back one of their 3 /8s (the other two went to Level3).