Five Security Flaws in IPv6

[Nick Hilliard]

Geoff Huston wrote:
> As the amount of remaining addresses space that these models look at 
> diminish in size, then the degree of possible variance in the modelling 
> exercise also diminishes - i.e. the convergence of these predictive 
> models is also a relatively strong signal that this is no longer a long 
> range prediction with high levels of potential variance, but is now 
> working as a short term prediction with very limited potential variance.

It might be more accurate to say that the upper bounds of the address pool 
sizes can be predicted more accurately as time goes by.  Your model does 
not take into account a possible stampede near the end.

Nick