The day has come

Hannigan, Martin marty at akamai.com
Tue Jan 18 05:54:35 CET 2011



It is highly likely that APNIC has had their application for the last 2 /8's
in the IANA queue for a bit now. It has been a public secret that the
counters are effectively unable to nail the day of exhaustion accurately.

Here is a quote from the ARIN Outside Counsel with regards to IANA
exhaustion:

Steve Ryan, ARIN Counsel:

"The date, frankly, is about to hit you in the head, and it's in January.
And in all likelihood that's when the trigger will occur. You know right now
when the date is. And it could come faster, by the way. It could come very
much faster, depending on the drawdown rate. The drawdown rate is
increasing, not slowing. And, therefore, I don't think we should spend any
energy."






On 1/15/11 1:00 PM, "Frank Bulk" <frnkblk at iname.com> wrote:

> No, not that day, but IPv4depletion (http://www.ipv4depletion.com) recently
> revised its IANA exhaustion counter to today, Saturday, January 15.
> 
> I don't think IANA doles out space to RIRs on weekends, but it looks like
> Lagerholm's calculations don't avoid weekends (and perhaps holidays).
> 
> Frank
> 
> 




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